Internacional FC de Palmira
Barranquilla FC
The model leans Internacional FC de Palmira at 61%. Expected goals: Internacional FC de Palmira 2.33, Barranquilla FC 0.83. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 52%.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Internacional FC de Palmira | 70% | 1.42 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 19% | 5.27 | – | – | – |
| 2Barranquilla FC | 11% | 9.25 | – | – | – |
Pick: Internacional FC de Palmira. Calibrated probability 61% (raw model output 70%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 89%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.33 – 0.83| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% |
| Both teams to score | Yes51% | No49% |
Most likely scores
- 2–011.5%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–09.0%
- 1–18.2%
- 3–17.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 55% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Internacional FC de Palmira −1.5| Internacional FC de Palmira line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 48% | – | 52% |
| -1 | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | – | 29% |
| 0 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +0.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.