Championship · Match preview
Southampton 3–1 
Stoke City
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- St. Mary's Stadium
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Match overview
Final score: Southampton 3–1 Stoke City.
Southampton are 7th in the Championship table with 17 points from 11 matches; Stoke City are 6th with 19 points from 11.
Last 4 results in our archive, newest first: Southampton L W W W; Stoke City L W D W.
In their last 4 settled matches Southampton scored 1.5 and conceded 0.8 goals per game; Stoke City scored 1.3 and conceded 0.8 in their last 4.
The Championship averages 2.9 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 2.1. Over 2.5 landed in 38% and both teams scored in 50% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Southampton to win at 67% probability, and it came in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Southampton to win
- Probability
- 67%
- Outcome
- Came in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Championship record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Stoke City | 4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 25% | 50% | 50% |
Championship average this season: 2.9 goals per match.
Championship table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7. | Southampton | 11 | 6-3-2 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 6. | Stoke City | 11 | 6-1-4 | 18:16 | 19 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Southampton
- AWatford2–1L
- AColchester United0–2W
- APreussen Münster1–2W
- AEintracht Braunschweig0–1W
Stoke City
- HSwansea City1–2L
- HOldham Athletic2–0W
- HValencia1–1D
- HEverton1–0W
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.