Championship · Match preview
Southampton 4–1 
Bristol City
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- St. Mary's Stadium
Times are shown in your browser's time zone with the zone name; before scripts load they are in Europe/Zurich.
Match overview
Final score: Southampton 4–1 Bristol City.
Southampton are 7th in the Championship table with 17 points from 11 matches; Bristol City are 16th with 14 points from 11.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Southampton W D D W L; Bristol City W W W D L.
In their last 5 settled matches Southampton scored 2.2 and conceded 1.6 goals per game; Bristol City scored 1.8 and conceded 1.4 in their last 5.
The Championship averages 2.9 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 3.5. Over 2.5 landed in 70% and both teams scored in 90% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Southampton to win at 62% probability, and it came in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Southampton to win
- Probability
- 62%
- Outcome
- Came in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Championship record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 60% | 100% | 0% |
| Bristol City | 5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 80% | 80% | 0% |
Championship average this season: 2.9 goals per match.
Championship table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7. | Southampton | 11 | 6-3-2 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 16. | Bristol City | 11 | 4-2-5 | 12:15 | 14 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Southampton
- HSwansea City3–1W
- ALincoln City1–1D
- ABirmingham City1–1D
- HMillwall5–1W
- HWest Ham United1–4L
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.