Brasileirão · Match preview
São Paulo 2–1 
Vitória
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Estádio do Morumbi
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Match overview
Final score: São Paulo 2–1 Vitória.
São Paulo are 10th in the Brasileirão table with 39 points from 30 matches; Vitória are 13th with 36 points from 30.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: São Paulo L W W L D; Vitória W D W L L.
In their last 5 settled matches São Paulo scored 1.0 and conceded 1.0 goals per game; Vitória scored 1.6 and conceded 1.2 in their last 5.
The Brasileirão averages 2.7 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 2.4. Over 2.5 landed in 40% and both teams scored in 40% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was São Paulo to win at 48% probability, and it came in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- São Paulo to win
- Probability
- 48%
- Outcome
- Came in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Brasileirão record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | 5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 20% | 40% | 20% |
| Vitória | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 60% | 40% | 40% |
Brasileirão average this season: 2.7 goals per match.
Brasileirão table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10. | São Paulo | 30 | 11-6-13 | 35:35 | 39 |
| 13. | Vitória | 30 | 10-6-14 | 33:44 | 36 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Vitória
- HChapecoense4–0W
- AMirassol2–2D
- HGrêmio1–0W
- HVasco da Gama0–2L
- AAtlético-MG2–1L
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.
