Bundesliga · Match preview
Freiburg 4–1 
Werder Bremen
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Schwarzwald-Stadion
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Match overview
Final score: Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen.
Freiburg are 3rd in the Bundesliga table with 13 points from 5 matches; Werder Bremen are 8th with 9 points from 6.
Last 3 results in our archive, newest first: Freiburg W W W W W; Werder Bremen W W W.
In their last 5 settled matches Freiburg scored 3.4 and conceded 0.6 goals per game; Werder Bremen scored 4.0 and conceded 1.3 in their last 3.
The Bundesliga averages 3.7 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 4.7. Over 2.5 landed in 73% and both teams scored in 63% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Freiburg to win at 63% probability, and it came in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Freiburg to win
- Probability
- 63%
- Outcome
- Came in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Bundesliga record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | 5 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 80% | 60% | 40% |
| Werder Bremen | 3 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 67% | 67% | 33% |
Bundesliga average this season: 3.7 goals per match.
Bundesliga table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. | Freiburg | 5 | 4-1-0 | 14:4 | 13 |
| 8. | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2-3-1 | 12:12 | 9 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Freiburg
- HMotherwell4–1W
- AFortuna Düsseldorf1–5W
- AMotherwell1–3W
- HCrystal Palace3–0W
- HStrasbourg2–0W
Werder Bremen
- AEnergie Cottbus2–4W
- HFagiano Okayama FC2–0W
- AVerden 042–6W
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.
