Bundesliga · Match preview
Freiburg 1–3 
Bayern München
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Schwarzwald-Stadion
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Match overview
Final score: Freiburg 1–3 Bayern München.
Freiburg are 3rd in the Bundesliga table with 16 points from 8 matches; Bayern München are 1st with 18 points from 8.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Freiburg L L W W W; Bayern München D W D D W.
In their last 5 settled matches Freiburg scored 2.0 and conceded 2.0 goals per game; Bayern München scored 4.0 and conceded 1.6 in their last 5.
The Bundesliga averages 3.5 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 4.8. Over 2.5 landed in 100% and both teams scored in 80% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Bayern München to win at 67% probability, and it came in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Bayern München to win
- Probability
- 67%
- Outcome
- Came in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Bundesliga record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | 5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 100% | 80% | 0% |
| Bayern München | 5 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 100% | 80% | 20% |
Bundesliga average this season: 3.5 goals per match.
Bundesliga table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. | Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 1. | Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.
