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Atlético-MG club crestAtlético-MG 2–1 Vitória club crestVitória

Kick-off
Status
Finished
Venue
Estádio Raimundo Sampaio

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Match overview

Final score: Atlético-MG 2–1 Vitória.

Atlético-MG are 7th in the Brasileirão table with 48 points from 31 matches; Vitória are 13th with 36 points from 30.

Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Atlético-MG D D W D W; Vitória L L W L L.

In their last 5 settled matches Atlético-MG scored 1.6 and conceded 0.8 goals per game; Vitória scored 0.2 and conceded 1.4 in their last 5.

The Brasileirão averages 2.7 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 2.0. Over 2.5 landed in 30% and both teams scored in 30% of their recent games.

Before kick-off the model’s pick was Atlético-MG to win at 53% probability, and it came in.

All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced

Settled

The model’s pre-match pick and how it went

Pick
Atlético-MG to win
Probability
53%
Outcome
Came in

Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Brasileirão record

Goals in recent matches

From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.

ClubPForAgainstOver 2.5BTTSClean sheet
Atlético-MG51.60.860%60%40%
Vitória50.21.40%0%20%

Brasileirão average this season: 2.7 goals per match.

Brasileirão table: the two clubs

Full table
#ClubPW-D-LGoalsPts
7.Atlético-MG club crestAtlético-MG3113-9-941:3548
13.Vitória club crestVitória3010-6-1433:4436

Recent form

Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.

Vitória

Head-to-head

Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).

No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.

Brasileirão page