Premier League · Match preview
Aston Villa 2–1 
Manchester City
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Villa Park
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Match overview
Final score: Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City.
Aston Villa are 10th in the Premier League table with 12 points from 9 matches; Manchester City are 2nd with 21 points from 9.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Aston Villa W W W D W; Manchester City W W L W W.
In their last 5 settled matches Aston Villa scored 3.0 and conceded 0.8 goals per game; Manchester City scored 3.6 and conceded 2.0 in their last 5.
The Premier League averages 2.7 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 4.7. Over 2.5 landed in 90% and both teams scored in 70% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Manchester City to win at 55% probability; it did not come in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Manchester City to win
- Probability
- 55%
- Outcome
- Did not come in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Premier League record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 5 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 80% | 60% | 40% |
| Manchester City | 5 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 100% | 80% | 20% |
Premier League average this season: 2.7 goals per match.
Premier League table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10. | Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 2. | Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Aston Villa
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.
