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Aston Villa club crestAston Villa 0–1 Arsenal club crestArsenal

Kick-off
Status
Finished
Venue
Villa Park

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Match overview

Final score: Aston Villa 0–1 Arsenal.

Aston Villa are 12th in the Premier League table with 8 points from 7 matches; Arsenal are 2nd with 15 points from 6.

Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Aston Villa L L L L W; Arsenal W W D L L.

In their last 5 settled matches Aston Villa scored 1.8 and conceded 2.4 goals per game; Arsenal scored 2.0 and conceded 1.4 in their last 5.

The Premier League averages 2.9 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 3.8. Over 2.5 landed in 90% and both teams scored in 60% of their recent games.

Before kick-off the model’s pick was Arsenal to win at 47% probability, and it came in.

All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced

Settled

The model’s pre-match pick and how it went

Pick
Arsenal to win
Probability
47%
Outcome
Came in

Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Premier League record

Goals in recent matches

From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.

ClubPForAgainstOver 2.5BTTSClean sheet
Aston Villa51.82.4100%60%20%
Arsenal52.01.480%60%40%

Premier League average this season: 2.9 goals per match.

Premier League table: the two clubs

Full table
#ClubPW-D-LGoalsPts
12.Aston Villa club crestAston Villa72-2-37:118
2.Arsenal club crestArsenal65-0-110:515

Recent form

Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.

Aston Villa

Arsenal

Head-to-head

Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).

No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.

Premier League page