Liga Portugal · Match preview
Arouca 1–0 
Nacional
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Estádio Municipal de Arouca
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Match overview
Final score: Arouca 1–0 Nacional.
Arouca are 5th in the Liga Portugal table with 20 points from 10 matches; Nacional are 15th with 7 points from 10.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Arouca W W W D L; Nacional W L L L L.
In their last 5 settled matches Arouca scored 1.8 and conceded 1.4 goals per game; Nacional scored 0.8 and conceded 2.2 in their last 5.
The Liga Portugal averages 2.7 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 3.1. Over 2.5 landed in 60% and both teams scored in 50% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Arouca to win at 53% probability, and it came in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Arouca to win
- Probability
- 53%
- Outcome
- Came in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Liga Portugal record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 60% | 60% | 40% |
| Nacional | 5 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% |
Liga Portugal average this season: 2.7 goals per match.
Liga Portugal table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5. | Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 15. | Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Arouca
- AAlvercaLiga Portugal0–1W
- ACF Os BelenensesTaca de Portugal3–4W
- HEstrela da AmadoraLiga Portugal1–0W
- ASporting CPLiga Portugal2–2D
- HSanta ClaraLiga Portugal1–2L
Nacional
- HBragaLiga Portugal1–0W
- ASanjoanenseTaca de Portugal1–0L
- ARio AveLiga Portugal3–2L
- HFamalicãoLiga Portugal0–4L
- HAlvercaLiga Portugal1–3L
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.
