Rodez
Laval
The model leans Rodez at 51%. Expected goals: Rodez 1.55, Laval 0.65. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 61%. Rodez won 2 of their last 4; Laval won 1 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rodez | 58% | 1.73 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.62 | – | – | – |
| 2Laval | 14% | 6.91 | – | – | – |
Pick: Rodez. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 58%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 86%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.55 – 0.65| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% |
| Both teams to score | Yes38% | No62% |
Most likely scores
- 1–017.1%
- 2–013.3%
- 1–111.2%
- 0–011.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–17.2%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 56% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Rodez −1| Rodez line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
| 0 | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| +0.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 12% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.