Clermont Foot
Reims
The model leans Reims at 41%. Expected goals: Clermont Foot 0.91, Reims 1.31. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 55%. Clermont Foot won 0 of their last 4; Reims won 2 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Clermont Foot | 25% | 4.06 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.24 | – | – | – |
| 2Reims | 45% | 2.25 | – | – | – |
Pick: Reims. Calibrated probability 41% (raw model output 45%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.91 – 1.31| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% |
| Both teams to score | Yes43% | No57% |
Most likely scores
- 0–114.3%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–010.9%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–29.3%
- 1–28.5%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 55% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Reims −0.5| Clermont Foot line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 9% | – | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 17% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| 0 | 26% | 28% | 46% |
| +0.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 25% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | – | 21% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.