Rosario Central
Racing Club
The model leans Draw at 36%. Expected goals: Rosario Central 0.90, Racing Club 0.71. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 69%. Rosario Central won 0 of their last 4; Racing Club won 0 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rosario Central | 36% | 2.74 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.66 | – | – | – |
| 2Racing Club | 26% | 3.85 | – | – | – |
Pick: Draw. Calibrated probability 36% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.90 – 0.71| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 78% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% |
| Both teams to score | Yes30% | No70% |
Most likely scores
- 0–020.0%
- 1–017.9%
- 0–114.3%
- 1–112.8%
- 2–08.0%
- 2–15.7%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 68% · BTTS No 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Rosario Central 0| Rosario Central line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 13% | – | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 24% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| 0 | 38% | 35% | 27% |
| +0.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 19% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.