Championship · Match preview
Stoke City 2–3 
Middlesbrough
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Bet365 Stadium
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Match overview
Final score: Stoke City 2–3 Middlesbrough.
Stoke City are 6th in the Championship table with 19 points from 11 matches; Middlesbrough are 3rd with 22 points from 11.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Stoke City W W W W L; Middlesbrough D D W W D.
In their last 5 settled matches Stoke City scored 2.0 and conceded 1.2 goals per game; Middlesbrough scored 2.0 and conceded 1.6 in their last 5.
The Championship averages 2.9 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 3.4. Over 2.5 landed in 70% and both teams scored in 70% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Middlesbrough to win at 45% probability, and it came in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Middlesbrough to win
- Probability
- 45%
- Outcome
- Came in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Championship record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 80% | 60% | 40% |
| Middlesbrough | 5 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 60% | 80% | 20% |
Championship average this season: 2.9 goals per match.
Championship table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6. | Stoke City | 11 | 6-1-4 | 18:16 | 19 |
| 3. | Middlesbrough | 11 | 6-4-1 | 22:16 | 22 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.