Ligue 1 · Match preview
Marseille 2–0 
Toulouse
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Orange Vélodrome
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Match overview
Final score: Marseille 2–0 Toulouse.
Marseille are 6th in the Ligue 1 table with 15 points from 9 matches; Toulouse are 12th with 10 points from 9.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Marseille W L W L W; Toulouse D W D W D.
In their last 5 settled matches Marseille scored 2.2 and conceded 1.4 goals per game; Toulouse scored 2.0 and conceded 1.2 in their last 5.
The Ligue 1 averages 3.0 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 3.4. Over 2.5 landed in 60% and both teams scored in 50% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Marseille to win at 54% probability, and it came in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Marseille to win
- Probability
- 54%
- Outcome
- Came in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Ligue 1 record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| Toulouse | 5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 80% | 60% | 40% |
Ligue 1 average this season: 3.0 goals per match.
Ligue 1 table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6. | Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 12. | Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.
