Premier League · Match preview
Leeds United 4–1
Newcastle United
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Elland Road
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Match overview
Final score: Leeds United 4–1 Newcastle United.
Leeds United are 8th in the Premier League table with 9 points from 6 matches; Newcastle United are 11th with 8 points from 7.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Leeds United D D W W D; Newcastle United D W W D D.
In their last 5 settled matches Leeds United scored 1.6 and conceded 0.6 goals per game; Newcastle United scored 2.0 and conceded 1.4 in their last 5.
The Premier League averages 2.9 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 2.8. Over 2.5 landed in 40% and both teams scored in 70% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Leeds United to win at 42% probability, and it came in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Leeds United to win
- Probability
- 42%
- Outcome
- Came in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Premier League record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | 5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 20% | 60% | 40% |
| Newcastle United | 5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 60% | 80% | 20% |
Premier League average this season: 2.9 goals per match.
Premier League table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8. | 6 | 2-3-1 | 8:5 | 9 | |
| 11. | 7 | 2-2-3 | 10:14 | 8 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Leeds United
- ABrighton & Hove Albion1–1D
- HBrentford1–1D
- ANottingham Forest0–1W
- HAugsburg4–0W
- AManchester United1–1D
Newcastle United
- HAFC Bournemouth2–2D
- ATottenham Hotspur0–2W
- HWest Bromwich Albion3–2W
- HLiverpool2–2D
- HStrasbourg1–1D
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.