Championship · Match preview
Cardiff City 5–1 
Watford
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Cardiff City Stadium
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Match overview
Final score: Cardiff City 5–1 Watford.
Cardiff City are 19th in the Championship table with 11 points from 11 matches; Watford are 20th with 11 points from 11.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Cardiff City W L L D L; Watford L L W L L.
In their last 5 settled matches Cardiff City scored 1.4 and conceded 1.8 goals per game; Watford scored 0.6 and conceded 1.4 in their last 5.
The Championship averages 2.9 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 2.6. Over 2.5 landed in 60% and both teams scored in 60% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Cardiff City to win at 44% probability, and it came in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Cardiff City to win
- Probability
- 44%
- Outcome
- Came in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Championship record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City | 5 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 80% | 80% | 0% |
| Watford | 5 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 40% | 40% | 0% |
Championship average this season: 2.9 goals per match.
Championship table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19. | Cardiff City | 11 | 2-5-4 | 18:17 | 11 |
| 20. | Watford | 11 | 3-2-6 | 10:19 | 11 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.