Eredivisie · Match preview
Ajax 1–0 
AZ Alkmaar
- Kick-off
- Status
- Finished
- Venue
- Johan Cruyff ArenA
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Match overview
Final score: Ajax 1–0 AZ Alkmaar.
Ajax are 2nd in the Eredivisie table with 24 points from 11 matches; AZ Alkmaar are 5th with 20 points from 11.
Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: Ajax W W W L D; AZ Alkmaar L W D W L.
In their last 5 settled matches Ajax scored 2.2 and conceded 1.2 goals per game; AZ Alkmaar scored 1.6 and conceded 1.4 in their last 5.
The Eredivisie averages 3.8 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 3.2. Over 2.5 landed in 60% and both teams scored in 60% of their recent games.
Before kick-off the model’s pick was Ajax to win at 51% probability, and it came in.
All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced
Settled
The model’s pre-match pick and how it went
- Pick
- Ajax to win
- Probability
- 51%
- Outcome
- Came in
Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Eredivisie record
Goals in recent matches
From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.
| Club | P | For | Against | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 60% | 80% | 20% |
| AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% |
Eredivisie average this season: 3.8 goals per match.
Eredivisie table: the two clubs
| # | Club | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. | Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 5. | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
Recent form
Last five settled matches before this fixture, newest first.
Ajax
Head-to-head
Meetings before this fixture, from the results archive (July 2026 onwards).
No previous meeting between these clubs in our results archive, which starts in July 2026.
