Predictions · Cup · outside model coverage
Deportes Quindío
v
Pending
Llaneros FC
The model leans Deportes Quindío at 37%. Expected goals: Deportes Quindío 1.06, Llaneros FC 0.82. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 62%.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match39
34
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| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Deportes Quindío | 39% | 2.56 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 34% | 2.91 | – | – | – |
| 2Llaneros FC | 27% | 3.76 | – | – | – |
Pick: Deportes Quindío. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 39%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.06 – 0.82| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% |
| Both teams to score | Yes37% | No63% |
Most likely scores
- 1–016.1%
- 0–015.2%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–112.6%
- 2–08.5%
- 2–17.0%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 59% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Deportes Quindío 0| Deportes Quindío line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 16% | – | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 24% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| 0 | 40% | 32% | 28% |
| +0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 19% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.