Predictions · Cyprus League · outside model coverage
Omonia Nicosia
0–0
Lost
Omonia Aradippou
The model leans Omonia Nicosia at 70%. Expected goals: Omonia Nicosia 2.88, Omonia Aradippou 0.52. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 61%.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match85
| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Omonia Nicosia | 85% | 1.18 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 12% | 8.67 | – | – | – |
| 2Omonia Aradippou | 4% | 26.88 | – | – | – |
Pick: Omonia Nicosia. Calibrated probability 70% (raw model output 85%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 96%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.88 – 0.52| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| Both teams to score | Yes38% | No62% |
Most likely scores
- 2–013.9%
- 3–013.4%
- 1–09.7%
- 4–09.6%
- 2–17.2%
- 3–16.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Omonia Nicosia −2| Omonia Nicosia line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| -1 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| -0.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
| 0 | 85% | 11% | 4% |
| +0.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
| +1 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.