Champions League · Match preview

AEK Athens 2–3 Real Madrid

Kick-off: Wed, Nov 4, 2026, 18:45 GMT+1
Status: Finished

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Match overview

Final score: AEK Athens 2–3 Real Madrid.

AEK Athens are 29th in the Champions League table with 3 points from 4 matches; Real Madrid are 2nd with 12 points from 4.

Last 5 results in our archive, newest first: AEK Athens L L W L L; Real Madrid W W W W W.

In their last 5 settled matches AEK Athens scored 1.6 and conceded 2.6 goals per game; Real Madrid scored 3.4 and conceded 1.2 in their last 5.

The Champions League averages 4.0 goals a match this season; these two clubs’ recent matches point to about 4.4. Over 2.5 landed in 90% and both teams scored in 70% of their recent games.

Before kick-off the model’s pick was Real Madrid to win at 58% probability, and it came in.

All figures come from the results archive and the league table in our data; nothing on this page is estimated. How the probabilities are produced

Settled

The model’s pre-match pick and how it went

Pick: Real Madrid to win
Probability: 58%
Outcome: Came in

Logged before kick-off, settled automatically against the final score and never edited afterwards. Full Champions League record

Goals in recent matches

From the final scores of each club’s last settled matches: goals for and against per game, and how often over 2.5, both teams scoring and a clean sheet occurred.